The MacroTourist

The MacroTourist

THE SURPRISE FOR THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2017

Kevin Muir's avatar
Kevin Muir
Nov 28, 2016
∙ Paid
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It’s approaching that time of year again. No, I don’t mean Christmas or all the other holidays, but the time of year when the US economy underperforms expectations.

Over the past five years the 1st quarter has consistently disappointed. Have a look at the chart of the Citibank Economic Surprise Index (which measures economic performance versus expectatio…

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