The MacroTourist

The MacroTourist

Share this post

The MacroTourist
The MacroTourist
THE MOST ANTICIPATED (IN A YEAR'S TIME) RECESSION

THE MOST ANTICIPATED (IN A YEAR'S TIME) RECESSION

The 'tourist takes a look at the chart that everyone is talking about

Kevin Muir's avatar
Kevin Muir
Nov 28, 2022
∙ Paid
27

Share this post

The MacroTourist
The MacroTourist
THE MOST ANTICIPATED (IN A YEAR'S TIME) RECESSION
23
Share

Recently a chart titled “The most anticipated recession ever” has made the rounds. It’s from Apollo’s Chief Economist Torsten Slok, and to say it captured my attention would be an understatement.

At first blush, it made little sense.

The chart shows the “probability of recession over the coming 12 months in the Fed’s Survey of Professional Forecasters.” I…

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Kevin Muir
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share