BUY YOUR STRAW HATS IN WINTERThe 'tourist explains how he is hedging the election risk and why the market is too optimistic about Trump's chances...Kevin MuirOct 23, 2024∙ Paid289ShareOver the past month, Trump’s election momentum has taken a dramatic turn for the better. At the beginning of September, the Polymarket betting site had Trump’s chance of winning at 45%, yet over the past few weeks, that’s risen to 64%.This post is for paid subscribersSubscribeAlready a paid subscriber? Sign inPreviousNext