The MacroTourist

The MacroTourist

BUY YOUR STRAW HATS IN WINTER

The 'tourist explains how he is hedging the election risk and why the market is too optimistic about Trump's chances...

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Kevin Muir
Oct 23, 2024
∙ Paid

Over the past month, Trump’s election momentum has taken a dramatic turn for the better. At the beginning of September, the Polymarket betting site had Trump’s chance of winning at 45%, yet over the past few weeks, that’s risen to 64%.

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